The Indian Journal of Technical Education (IJTE)

ISSN 0971-3034 (Open Access and Peer Review Journal.) Published by the Indian Society for Technical Education, New Delhi
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Indian Journal of Technical Education
Published by ISTE, New Delhi
Peer Reviewed      Open Access      ISSN: 0971-3034
Volume: 49, Issue: 03
July–September 2026

Cross-City Transfer Learning for Daily Rainfall Forecasting at Pune, India

Sumit Suman
Assistant Professors
Dept. of Civil Engineering
Government Engineering College Khagaria
Khagaria, Bihar
suman.sumit@geckhagaria.org.in
Vishal Kumar Chaudhary
Assistant Professors
Dept. of Civil Engineering
Government Engineering College Khagaria
Khagaria, Bihar
vishal@geckhagaria.org.in
Tanmay Kumar
Assistant Professor
Dept. of Civil Engineering
Government Engineering College Samastipur
Samastipur, Bihar
tanmaykumar790@gmail.com
Volume 49, No. 3 — July – September 2026
Pages: 78 - 83

Abstract

Data-driven rainfall models normally need long local records, which many stations lack. This study asks whether a transformer pre-trained on data-rich coastal Mumbai can cut both the local data and the computation needed to forecast daily rainfall at Pune, a rain-shadow city 120 km inland. RainFormer, a transformer encoder-decoder, first trained on Pune’s full record, gave a reference test RMSE of 12.522 mm. It was then pre-trained on Mumbai, and only its last decoder block and output head, 52,481 of its 194,177 parameters, were fine-tuned on 10 to 100% of Pune’s record, against models trained from scratch on identical data. Transfer beat the scratch model at every share. With 10% of the local record its RMSE was within 0.43% of the reference, it equalled the reference at 50% and bettered it at 60% (12.441 mm), so full-data accuracy was reached with 40% less local data while training 73% fewer parameters. Beyond that point the advantage narrowed and the transfer RMSE rose slightly, to 12.479 mm at 100%, indicating over-fitting of the fine-tuned layers to Pune’s historical regime. Cross-city transfer can therefore replace much of a station’s record at a fraction of the training cost.

Keywords

Transfer learning, Transformer, Rainfall forecasting, Fine-tuning, Computational efficiency.

Citation

Sumit Suman, et al., (2026) “Cross-City Transfer Learning for Daily Rainfall Forecasting at Pune, India”, Indian Journal of Technical Education (IJTE), Vol.: 49, No.: 03, Pp.: 78-83